IHME Lowers Coronavirus Death Projects to 60,415

Remember how there were hundreds of thousands of coronavirus deaths projected in the United States alone? Death projections that were used to strip away our freedoms almost daily. You know, the whole freedom for safety exchange that many people began begging for? Yeah, well that projection is proving to be more and more bogus.

Once AGAIN the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) model, which has been cited by the White House Coronavirus Task Force, has lowered its coronavirus death projections. So now, the estimated deaths will be about 60,415.

Breitbart reports:

The IHME model has come under withering criticism for vastly overstatingprojections of regular and ICU hospital beds needed, but its death projections to date have closely tracked with actual data.

Wednesday’s dramatic reverse in the model’s projection of U.S. deaths was made without a press release from IHME explaining the reasons for the reduction. It marks the second reduction in the model’s U.S. deaths projections since April 1, when it forecast 93,765 U.S. fatalities.

On April 5, the death projections were lowered to 81,766.

“Our estimates assume statewide social distancing measures are continuing in states where they have already been enacted, and for those states without such measures in place, it is assumed they will be will be in place within seven days,” IHME director Christopher Murray said last week.

“If social distancing measures are relaxed or not implemented, the U.S. will see greater death tolls, the death peak will be later, the burden on hospitals will be much greater, and the economic costs will continue to grow,” he continued.

As Breitbart News reported, the IHME model has a serious flaw when it comes to the way it projects hospital bed needs by state during the coronavirus pandemic:

Though the IHME model updates its results with real time actual data for number of COVID-19 cases and number of COVID-19 deaths, it does not update those results with actual regular hospital bed or actual ICU hospital bed data. Instead, the model apparently projects regular hospital bed requirements and ICU bed requirements based on an anticipated mathematical relationship between actual COVID-19 cases and COVID-19 deaths with hospital bed requirements.

Let's get the country opened back up and people back to work! No more of this sitting at home nonsense!

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